Can the Myanmar Army Fight a War Against Bangladesh in 2025?
Reading Time: < 1 minuteShort answer:→ No, the Tatmadaw (Myanmar Army) cannot realistically fight a war against Bangladesh at present. Here’s why: Category Current Tatmadaw Capability Implication in Case of War Against Bangladesh Manpower Severely overstretched fighting ethnic rebel groups across the country Cannot free enough troops for a new front against Bangladesh Equipment Continue Reading
Quiet Diplomacy: Bangladesh’s Emerging Role in the Future of Rakhine State
Reading Time: 2 minutesIn recent months, Bangladesh has moved quietly but decisively to shape the future of neighbouring Rakhine State, as the Myanmar junta weakens and local forces gain ascendancy. With the Arakan Army (AA) now controlling over 90% of Rakhine territory and poised to declare independence, Dhaka is positioning itself to secure Continue Reading
Prevent India from weaponising water resources
Reading Time: 2 minutesTo prevent India from weaponising water resources to exert pressure on Bangladesh, a combination of diplomatic, technical, strategic, and regional approaches is essential. Here’s a comprehensive breakdown: 🌊 1. Diplomatic and Legal Measures ✅ A. Bilateral Treaty Modernisation ✅ B. International Legal Forums 🛰️ 2. Technical Surveillance and Early Warning Continue Reading
Indian air power and surveillance threat matrix near Bangladesh
Reading Time: 2 minutesIndia maintains a robust network of forward airbases, radar stations, and integrated air defence systems across its eastern and north-eastern regions, many of which lie within 1,000 kilometres of the Bangladesh border. These installations are strategically positioned across West Bengal, Assam, Meghalaya, Tripura, and Odisha, enabling India to maintain air Continue Reading
Operational Capability Degradation – Myanmar Armed Forces (Tatmadaw)
Reading Time: 2 minutesAs of early 2025, the Myanmar Armed Forces (Tatmadaw) are experiencing significant degradation in their operational effectiveness across nearly all regions of the country. This deterioration is the result of sustained offensives by ethnic armed organisations (EAOs), widespread resistance by the National Unity Government (NUG)-aligned People’s Defence Forces (PDFs), mass Continue Reading