Can the Myanmar Army Fight a War Against Bangladesh in 2025?
Reading Time: < 1 minuteShort answer:→ No, the Tatmadaw (Myanmar Army) cannot realistically fight a war against Bangladesh at present. Here’s why: Category Current Tatmadaw Capability Implication in Case of War Against Bangladesh Manpower Severely overstretched fighting ethnic rebel groups across the country Cannot free enough troops for a new front against Bangladesh Equipment Continue Reading
Comparison of Logistical Capabilities of Myanmar and Bangladesh forces
Reading Time: < 1 minuteAspect Myanmar Army (Tatmadaw) Arakan Army (AA) Bangladesh Army (BDA) Overall Logistics Status Severely degraded; reliant on static bases Light, agile, guerrilla-style logistics Fully structured, modern logistics corps Transport Fleet Limited, mostly civilian trucks; many non-functional Minimal; relies on porters, small boats, civilian vehicles Large, dedicated military logistics fleet (trucks, Continue Reading
Strategic Estimate: Future Threat Potential of the Arakan Army to Bangladesh
Reading Time: 3 minutes1. Executive Summary The Arakan Army (AA) currently poses no significant military threat to Bangladesh. Its structural limitations, political objectives, and external dependencies mitigate any future hostile posture. However, political frictions could emerge related to refugee repatriation and cross-border governance issues. Bangladesh must maintain strong military readiness, initiate structured engagement Continue Reading
Quiet Diplomacy: Bangladesh’s Emerging Role in the Future of Rakhine State
Reading Time: 2 minutesIn recent months, Bangladesh has moved quietly but decisively to shape the future of neighbouring Rakhine State, as the Myanmar junta weakens and local forces gain ascendancy. With the Arakan Army (AA) now controlling over 90% of Rakhine territory and poised to declare independence, Dhaka is positioning itself to secure Continue Reading