Can the Myanmar Army Fight a War Against Bangladesh in 2025?

Reading Time: < 1 minute Short answer:→ No, the Tatmadaw (Myanmar Army) cannot realistically fight a war against Bangladesh at present. Here’s why: CategoryCurrent Tatmadaw CapabilityImplication in Case of War Against BangladeshManpowerSeverely overstretched fighting ethnic rebel groups across the countryCannot free enough troops for a new front against BangladeshEquipmentAgeing, poorly maintained; heavy losses in tanks, artillery, and vehiclesCannot sustain armoured or mechanised warfare; limited firepowerLogisticsCritically degraded; fuel, ammunition, and supply shortagesCannot maintain extended combat operations near Bangladesh borderAir ForceOnly a handful of MiG-29, JF-17 aircraft still operational; few helicopters; fuel shortagesUnable to establish air superiority; extremely vulnerable to Bangladeshi Air Force strikesNavySmall, coastal-focused fleet with mostly old shipsCannot challenge Bangladesh Navy in the Bay of BengalInternal StabilityFacing open civil war in Rakhine, Kachin, Shan, Karen regionsAny attempt to fight Bangladesh would cause rear-area collapsesGeographyMountainous terrain; few operational roads towards BangladeshCannot easily move troops or supplies into forward positionsInternational PositionIsolated internationally;